The Institute for Supply Management’s index climbed to 51.8 from 49.5 in February, figures from the Tempe, Arizona-based group showed Friday. It was the first time since August that the gauge exceeded 50, the dividing line between growth and contraction.
Factory bookings were the strongest since November 2014 and a measure of production reached a 10-month high as companies made further progress getting inventories in line with sales. The outlook for manufacturing is a bit brighter following a recent recovery in commodities prices and a tempering of the dollar’s strength.
“There are signs that the industry is turning up,” Stan Shipley, an economist at Evercore ISI in New York, said before the report. “Businesses have been reducing inventory, so we’re getting near the end of that cycle. There are pockets of strength.”
Twelve of 18 industries surveyed by the purchasing managers’ group posted growth, including printing, furniture, machinery and plastics.
The ISM index was the strongest since July and exceeded the Bloomberg survey median forecast of 51. Economists’ estimates ranged from 48 to 53.2.
The new orders gauge increased to 58.3 from 51.5, and a measure of production rose to 55.3 from 52.8. Thirteen of 18 industries reported a pickup in March bookings.
The index for orders waiting to be filled advanced to 51 from 48.5.One weak spot in the report was the factory employment measure, which decreased to 48.1 from the prior month’s 48.5.
The index of export orders rose to 52, from 46.5. That marked the biggest jump since April 2011.
The gauge of factory inventories edged up to 47 from 45, and customer stockpiles rose to 49 from 47.
The index of prices paid surged 13 points, the most since August 2012, to 51.5. It was the first time since October 2014 that the measure indicated rising prices.
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